SampleSample · already trading · free rent check · not a verdict
Neighbourhood café42 Example Street, Brunswick VIC 3056
Illustrative free rent check for a café already trading and heading into renewal. No stay or leave verdict. Rent bands are estimated — not a sourced series. Unlock shows the decision report from the same numbers.
Neighbourhood café
What you told us
- Business type
- Neighbourhood café
- Location
- 42 Example Street, Brunswick VIC 3056
- Opening hours
- 8 h/day, 7 days/week · 56 h/week open
- What are you deciding?
- Renewing my lease
- Monthly revenue, 3-month average
- $49,500/mo
- Revenue, oldest of last 3 months
- $48,200
- Revenue, middle of last 3 months
- $49,800
- Revenue, latest month
- $50,500
- Average sale
- $16.50
- Transactions per day
- 100
- Current monthly rent, ex GST
- $6,200/mo
- Rent basis
- Gross — outgoings are in the rent
- Floor area
- 80 sqm
- Lease expiry (month and year)
- 2027-03-01
- Has the landlord proposed a new rent?
- Yes — I have a figure
- Landlord proposed rent
- $7,200/mo
- Capacity units
- 4
- How busy are you typically?
- 50–75%
- Wages, total payroll
- $16,000/mo
- Do wages include your own pay?
- Yes — my pay is in the wages figure
- Cost of goods
- $14,850/mo
- Other operating costs
- $3,200/mo
- Take-home you need per month
- $6,000/mo
- Approximate repeat-customer rate
- 40–60%
- Where do most of your customers come from?
- 1–3 km
- Service duration minutes
- 12
Your business health
Derived dimensions
Each score is a named formula on your figures and, where you left a recommended field blank, a cited research figure. Required fields are never invented.
How each dimension was derived
| Dimension | Result | How it was derived |
|---|---|---|
| Financial health | 67 | Uses the operating surplus on the costs you entered ($9,250). Weighted mean: surplus ÷ revenue = 18.7%; 0 at −5% surplus, 100 at +20%; occupancy ÷ revenue = 12.5%; 100 at 0% occupancy, 0 at 20%+; cost of goods ÷ revenue = 30.0%; 100 at 0% COGS, 0 at 50%+. |
| Market opportunity | 57 | This score is the three-month revenue path you entered, not a census forecast. 50 + 1.5 × clamp(latest vs first of last three months, −20, +20). Latest $50,500 vs $48,200 is 4.8%. |
| Competitive position | 81 | 5 nearby operators were used. This is not a Google rank. 0.45 × (mean competitor rating 4.40 / 5) + 0.25 × density relief (5 analysed) + 0.30 × log10(mean reviews). Your own rating is not in this score unless a listing was matched in research. |
| Capacity utilisation | 63 | About 1820 unused transactions a month on this arithmetic. Current transactions 3033 ÷ structural slots 4853 (hours × 60 ÷ service minutes × units × days × 52/12). |
| Customer strength | 72 | Repeat band only. Mapped from repeat_rate band “40_60” (under 20% → 32, 60%+ → 88). |
| Lease/rent position | 30 | Face occupancy versus the revenue you entered. 100 × clamp(1 − occupancy/revenue ÷ 18%, 0, 1). Occupancy share 12.5%. |
Mean of 6 scored dimensions (unscored dimensions are omitted, not filled).
The 3 things that matter most
- Rent represents 12.5% of revenue.
Cited pages were retrieved on 2026-10-01. A cited rental listing is not proof those premises are still for lease. Census population figures are from 2021, not a live count.
Decision report
The decision
Valid as of 2026-10-01. Not legal or financial advice. Confirm lease checklist items with your solicitor.
- Rent is 12.5% of revenue — above the estimated 8–12% café band.
- The landlord’s proposed 7,200 is 16.1% above current rent.
- Walk-away rent on submitted costs is 15,450 per month, so the site can still fund a lower increase.
Money
Financial health from the figures you entered. Illustrative arithmetic — not a forecast.
Current economics
Gross rent: outgoings are treated as already inside this figure.
Owner economics
Your pay is already inside wages, so it is not added again.
Assumptions
- Gross rent: outgoings are treated as already inside this figure.
- Revenue is the 3-month monthly average you entered, excluding GST.
- Your pay is already inside wages, so it is not added again.
- All four cost groups you were asked for are present.
- This is not a forecast and not tax or lease advice.
Break-even analysis
(occupancy + wages + other) ÷ (1 − COGS/revenue) = $25,400 ÷ (1 − 30.0%).
What happens if…
Illustrative scenarios on the costs you entered. Not a forecast.
Estimated surplus $8,250
Same revenue and costs; occupancy set to the landlord’s proposed monthly rent (plus outgoings if they were in the current occupancy).
Estimated surplus $8,750
Midpoint between current occupancy and the proposed rent. Illustrative, not a negotiation outcome.
Estimated surplus $0
Occupancy set to the highest rent that still meets the take-home you entered.
Capacity analysis
Current transactions 3033 ÷ structural slots 4853 (hours × 60 ÷ service minutes × units × days × 52/12).
If 10% of unused capacity were converted at the current average sale, the illustrative revenue opportunity would be approximately $3,003 / month. Scenario, not a forecast.
Lease
Rent & lease analysis — what the occupancy cost is doing to the decision.
What you are deciding. Renewing the lease
Lease attention required
- You are deciding: Renewing the lease.
- Occupancy is 12.5% of revenue. That is the number to take to a review, not a feeling that rent is high.
- A renewal should open with occupancy, the review mechanism, and months to expiry — not a generic request for a discount.
Market
What the market, customers and price band say — separate from the P&L above.
- Demand label is from utilisation / three-month takings you entered (moderate), not from population counts.
- Customer-fit label follows the catchment you named (1 3km).
- Trajectory follows the three months of revenue you entered.
What your customers are telling you
Renegotiate. The books work at current rent. Do not accept a 16.1% lift without a corresponding covers or ticket story.
Pricing
Current position is the band you chose, not a modelled price.
Average sale $17.
- Hold the $16.50 ticket. Do not discount to fund rent.
Plan
Risks, the next 90 days, and the questions that should change what you do this week.
Risk radar
| Risk | Level | Reason |
|---|---|---|
| Rent pressure | Medium | Occupancy ÷ revenue = 12.5%. High ≥ 18%, medium ≥ 12%. |
| Competition | Medium | 5 relevant operators were analysed. Density is a researched count, not a vibe. |
| Customer concentration | Low | Repeat band 40 60; catchment 1 3km. |
| Capacity | Low | Utilisation score 63 / 100 on the formula above. |
| Margin | Medium | Cost of goods is 30.0% of revenue. High ≥ 40%, medium ≥ 30%. |
Your next 90 days
If you do only three things
- Ask the landlord to leave rent at $6,200 or cap the increase below 8%.
- Walk the 500 m radius and confirm the three like-for-like cafés.
- Reprice the all-day menu so the $16.50 ticket holds on weekdays.
Questions you should ask yourself
Ask: Could you attract a defined extra handful of customers in a named quiet window without adding staff?
Ask: Would changing the next rent review materially improve the surplus on this page?
Ask: Is the take-home target the same cash already inside wages, or extra?
Supporting research
Agent evidence, modelled money, and location context behind the decision. The numbered chapters above are the operating pack.
Decisive evidence
Why this score
The address score is the weighted average of the components printed on that report. The weights are chosen for that business and add to 100. They are not a fixed rent, competition, demand, profitability and location-quality split.
- Trading performance scored 72 (weight 0.25%)
- Competition scored 61 (weight 0.25%)
- Rent load scored 42 · 0.17 points lost · weight 0.3%
Key risks
Most likely to make this location fail — ranked by severity.
Use conditions and verification to pressure-test these risks before signing.
Conditions to proceed
- Leave rent at A$6,200, or cap any increase so rent stays near the 8–12% band.
- Confirm the lease is gross and outgoings are not added on top.
- Hold the A$16.50 ticket. Do not discount to fund a higher rent.
Verify before signing
- Confirm outgoings are not extra on a gross lease.
- Count like-for-like cafés on a weekday morning walk of 500 m.
What would change the verdict
Stated by the research for this site — not a calculator inventing rent or ticket cut-offs. Where a numeric test was not available, the change is described and marked unknown.
Financial drivers named in the model
Money model
Screening economics for this concept. Net profit is before tax and depreciation. These are model outputs under your inputs and the research assumptions — not measured trading results.
Built from your inputs (rent $6,200/mo) and actual revenue $49,500/mo. Other cost and demand lines are researched, derived or benchmarked — see figure labels.
| Scenario | Utilisation | Units / mo | Revenue | Net profit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Downside | Not yet established. | 2,400 covers | $39,600 per month | $2,320 per month |
| Base | Not yet established. | 3,000 covers | $49,500 per month | $9,250 per month |
| Upside | Not yet established. | 3,600 covers | $59,400 per month | $16,180 per month |
- Utilisation
- Not yet established.
- Units / mo
- 2,400 covers
- Revenue
- $39,600 per month
- Net profit
- $2,320 per month
- Utilisation
- Not yet established.
- Units / mo
- 3,000 covers
- Revenue
- $49,500 per month
- Net profit
- $9,250 per month
- Utilisation
- Not yet established.
- Units / mo
- 3,600 covers
- Revenue
- $59,400 per month
- Net profit
- $16,180 per month
Scenario figures are modelled from the same drivers as the KPIs above. Basis labels live on the KPI cards. Capacity ceiling ≈ 4800 units/month. Labels map agent scenarios to Downside / Base / Upside for reading clarity — underlying numbers are unchanged.
Unit economics & setup capital
Revenue unit — cover
What would tighten this model (2)
Cost structure detail
Key assumptions (4)
Negotiate
Modelled from your revenue using Locatalyze's rent-burden thresholds (14% / 18%). This is not a market-rent valuation.
Modelled affordable rent = revenue above × 14%. Asking rent is at or below that modelled ceiling. Neither figure is market rent, fair rent, or a recommendation of what the landlord should charge.
What could change the gap
- UNKNOWN Outgoings are not confirmed — all-in occupancy (face + outgoings) cannot be computed yet.
Refine commercial terms
Optional. Add outgoings and incentives to refine first-year cash — not a longer form.
Selected scenario: Current ask · face rent $6,200/mo · outgoings not confirmed
Rent relief
Rent-free / temporary reductions lower year-1 occupancy cash. They do not permanently change face rent.
No rent relief entered
Capital contribution
Fit-out / landlord contribution is capital support — shown separately, never as a rent cut.
No capital contribution entered
How these numbers are calculated
- Modelled affordable rent = revenue × 14%. Modelled watch threshold = revenue × 18%. Both are MODELLED from your economics — not market rent.
- Outgoings not supplied (UNKNOWN). All-in occupancy is not computed until outgoings are entered — missing outgoings are not treated as $0.
What to confirm before you commit
Commercial checks only — not a solicitor's lease review.
Negotiation snapshot
On the current assumptions (operator-provided revenue), asking rent is at or below the modelled 14% affordable ceiling. Confirm outgoings and lease terms before treating the deal as settled.
Modelled from your revenue using Locatalyze's rent-burden thresholds (14% / 18%). This is not a market-rent valuation, and not legal or financial advice.
How it's performing
Covers clear break-even. The problem is rent as a share of revenue and the proposed lift, not an empty diary.
Primary gap: occupancy cost.
How this was tested (2)
Benchmarks
Industry and local references — labelled separately from your modelled P&L.
Market & demand
The café already trades. Demand is the covers you entered, not a forecast of whether to open.
Demand constraints that matter for the decision
- Three like-for-like cafés already sit inside 500 m
- Weekend destination trade is not guaranteed on this fictional pin
Demand drivers that matter here
Method — Submitted trading figures, not a new-site catchment model · medium confidence
Property & rent
Rent evidence (3)
| Premises | As listed | Annual | Monthly | Per sqm / yr | GST and outgoings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Illustrative listing A, Brunswick | $5,400 per month | $64,800 | $5,400 | $810 per sqm per year | GST not stated, outgoings not stated |
| Illustrative listing B, Brunswick | $6,800 per month | $81,600 | $6,800 | $1,020 per sqm per year | GST not stated, outgoings not stated |
| Illustrative listing C, Brunswick | $7,500 per month | $90,000 | $7,500 | $1,125 per sqm per year | GST not stated, outgoings not stated |
Lease position
Renegotiate. Current rent is stretched as a share of revenue. Proposed lift is optional; walk-away rent is still above the proposal.
Lease actions
- Put the estimated 8–12% rent-to-revenue band on the table, labelled as estimated.
- Counter the 16.1% proposed lift with a smaller step that stays under walk-away rent.
Competition
3 direct café competitors within 500 m. 2 adjacent food operators. Counts match the lists below.
3 local direct competitors · 2 adjacent · 2 substitutes · facts below; strengths/weaknesses are interpretation.
Distance from the searched point
Straight-line or approximate distances already in the research. Competitor coordinates were not stored, so this is not a map of pins.
| Operator | Distance | How measured |
|---|---|---|
| Example Roast Brunswick Nearby Example Lane, Brunswick VIC 3056 | 180.0 km | Researched |
| Corner Cup Example Example Road, Brunswick VIC 3056 | 320.0 km | Researched |
| Parkside Brew Example Example Street, Brunswick VIC 3056 | 450.0 km | Researched |
Where demand leaks
Direct competitors
Adjacent players & substitutes (4)
Further upsides (2)
Extra evidence-backed upsides — not generic positivity.
What to do next
Concrete moves for this site, drawn from this assessment. Prefer these over generic checklists.
Do this first
- 1Leave rent at A$6,200, or cap any increase so rent stays near the 8–12% band.
- 2Confirm the lease is gross and outgoings are not added on top.
- 3Hold the A$16.50 ticket. Do not discount to fund a higher rent.
- 4Ask the landlord to leave rent at $6,200 or cap the increase below 8%.
- 5Walk the 500 m radius and confirm the three like-for-like cafés.
Full checklist: conditions and verification · ranked risks · sequence below when ready to act.
Finding → why it matters → what to check
Supporting detail
Background research that supports the decision above. Expand only what you need — printing this page includes it.
What we assessedConcept & premises needs
Neighbourhood café serving coffee and all-day food to local residents and nearby workers
Workforce2Roles, wages, qualifications
Regulation & compliance2Licences and requirements
Requirements
- Food safety supervisor
Other figures we found1Every other number in the research
How this report was checked
Where sources disagreed
Known evidence gaps
All 4 sources
Figure labels
Researched measured or citedModelled calculated from inputsBenchmark industry referenceYour input you suppliedInferred interpretedUncertain not established
After the sample
What a live report includes for your address
This page is a stored sample for Neighbourhood café. Figures here belong to that sample, not to your address. A live run needs a free account. The A$29 unlock is a model from your inputs when those inputs exist. It does not invent demand.
Buyer protection and regeneration policy
Practical protection for technical failures, with honest limits around commercial outcomes.
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This sample (free rent check)
Rent check — not a stay or leave verdict
You are viewing the free already-trading output: rent as a share of revenue, estimated per-sqm bands, and timeline. The stay / renegotiate / exit verdict is in the paid decision report.
- Rent as % of revenue vs an estimated category range
- Rent per sqm vs estimated asking comps
- Timeline to lease expiry or review
- Up to 3 findings from rent and revenue only
- Not a stay / leave recommendation
Same rent check a live already-trading run shows. See the paid decision report from these numbers →
On your address
On your current site
- Proceed / Verify / Avoid
- Named competitors and distances
- Headline score and what moved it
- Risks and what to verify before signing
Then unlock — $29 decision report
Walk-away rent, P&L, break-even as customers per day, and a 90-day plan under YOUR costs. Rent bands stay labelled estimated until we have a sourced series.
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