Locatalyze
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Data & Methodology

How Locatalyze analyses
your location

Every Locatalyze report is built on real data — not guesses. Here's exactly what we analyse, where the data comes from, and how we calculate your score.

The process

What happens when you submit an address

01

Address + coordinate pinning

You drop a pin on an interactive map to confirm your exact location. We capture the precise latitude/longitude coordinates — not just a suburb name — so all subsequent analysis is anchored to your specific street and block, not a generic suburb average.
02

Competitor mapping

We query Google Maps for all businesses matching your category within a 500m radius of your pinned coordinates. Each competitor is assessed by their rating and review volume to produce a competition intensity score (LOW / MEDIUM / HIGH) and a Threat Score that accounts for quality, not just count.
03

Demographic analysis

We pull ABS-aligned demographic estimates for your suburb — median household income, age distribution, population density, and a consumer affordability index. These are cross-referenced against your business type to assess market fit.
04

Rent vs comps

Your submitted monthly rent is compared against commercial rent comps for the suburb and business category. Rent data sources vary by state: REIWA for WA, RealCommercial and Domain listings for NSW/VIC/QLD/SA/ACT. We calculate rent as a percentage of projected revenue and rate it EXCELLENT / GOOD / MARGINAL / POOR.
05

Model calibration (optional but impactful)

If you fill in the "Calibrate your model" section, the financial engine replaces generic category norms with your actual inputs. Average order value overrides the typical ticket for your category — changing revenue projections and break-even thresholds. Operating hours apply a demand multiplier (e.g. breakfast/lunch = 65% of an all-day operator's baseline; all-day = 135%). Location access type applies a footfall multiplier (transport hub = +10%; side street = −25%; arcade = −30%). Each field you provide raises the Model Accuracy score displayed on the report.
06

Deterministic financial model

A rules-based engine (not AI) builds the P&L from your calibrated inputs: monthly revenue, COGS, staffing, rent, fixed overheads, gross margin, net profit, contribution-margin break-even customers per day, and investment payback period. All formulas are documented below. If any critical input is missing, the relevant financial section is suppressed and a data gap is shown — no fake numbers.
07

Written analysis & verdict

The quantitative scores from Steps 1–6 are passed to a language model to generate the written analysis: SWOT, market demand narrative, competitive positioning, and 3-year projection. The GO / CAUTION / NO verdict is determined by the weighted location score — the narrative explains the verdict; it does not decide it.

Data sources

Where the data comes from

Live API

Google Maps Platform

Competitor locations, ratings, review counts, and price levels queried live for your specific coordinates within a 500m radius.

2021 base + rolling estimates

ABS Census Estimates

Population demographics, median income, household size and age distribution anchored to ABS 2021 Census with rolling estimate updates where available.

Comps

Commercial Rent Database

Suburb-level rent comps built from publicly available property listings. Sources vary by state: REIWA for WA, RealCommercial and Domain for NSW/VIC/QLD/SA/ACT. Your submitted rent is validated against the relevant state band.

By type

Category trade norms

Daily customers baseline, average ticket size, COGS %, gross margin, and staffing cost ratios segmented by business type. Used as the fallback when you do not provide your own figures.

Rules-based

Deterministic Compute Engine

A rules-based financial model (not AI) that builds the P&L from your calibrated inputs. Formulas are deterministic and documented — no black box outputs.

Written analysis

Narrative layer

Generates the prose sections only — SWOT, market narrative, risk scenarios, and 3-year projection. Financial figures come from the compute engine.

Scoring system

How your Location Score is calculated

The Location Score (0–100) is a weighted composite of five dimensions. Each dimension is scored independently then combined into a final score that determines your GO / CAUTION / NO verdict. Every report also shows a separate Data Completeness % and Model Confidence label so you can see how much of the analysis relied on your own inputs versus fallback category norms.

20%

weight

Rent Affordability

Rent as a percentage of projected revenue. Under 14% = GO band; 14–20% = caution; at or above 20% = danger zone (typically NO). Competition and demand scores still matter — this dimension is the single biggest predictor of long-term viability.

25%

weight

Competition

Competitor density within 500m, weighted by their threat level (ratings, review volume, proximity). Fewer strong competitors = higher score.

20%

weight

Market Demand

Search demand signals, population density, income fit, household growth and demographic alignment for your business category.

25%

weight

Profitability

Net profit margin after all costs. Calculated from your revenue estimate minus rent, COGS, labour and fixed costs.

10%

weight

Location Quality

Physical location signals: access quality, anchor proximity, and local activity conditions around your specific site.

GO70–100 / 100

All key dimensions support this location. The data gives you a basis to act — proceed to lease negotiation and site visits with confidence.

CAUTION45–69 / 100

Mixed signals. Viable with the right execution, but specific risks need mitigation.

NO0–44 / 100

Significant concerns identified. The risk profile does not support proceeding at this time.

Financial model

How we estimate revenue and profit

Our financial model combines your inputs with category baseline data to build a realistic P&L. Here's the logic behind each number.

Base revenue (category norm)

daily_customers_base × hours_multiplier × access_multiplier × avg_ticket × 26

The baseline revenue from which all scenarios are built. We use 26 service days per month (standard Australian hospitality six-day trading: closed one day a week for owner-operated formats). hours_multiplier ranges from 0.45× (weekends only) to 1.35× (all-day). access_multiplier ranges from 0.70× (arcade) to 1.10× (transport hub). avg_ticket uses your entered value if provided, otherwise the category typical.

COGS (Cost of Goods)

28–40% of revenue

Typical band varies by category: cafes ~30%, restaurants ~32%, retail ~40%. Based on common gross margins for Australian operators.

Labour Costs

Staffing tiers by business type and size

Calculated from typical staffing requirements: cafe (2 FT + 2 casual) = $25,000–35,000/mo; restaurant = $35,000–55,000/mo; retail = $15,000–25,000/mo. Does not include owner salary.

Fixed Costs (for break-even)

Monthly rent + Estimated staffing costs

Only fixed costs are used in the break-even calculation — not COGS, which is variable. This is the contribution margin break-even formula, which avoids double-counting variable costs.

Break-even Customers / Day

Fixed costs ÷ (avg_ticket × (gross_margin% − other_variable_costs%) × 26)

The minimum daily customers needed to cover rent and staffing over the 26 service days per month (matching the revenue formula). Compared against your projected daily demand. If projected > break-even, the location is viable at current inputs. The zero-profit survival floor (rent + overheads only, excluding staff cost) is lower than this number.

Payback Period

Setup cost ÷ Monthly net profit

Months to recover your initial investment. Only shown when monthly net profit is positive and setup cost is greater than $0. Under 12 months is excellent. Over 24 months carries meaningful risk.

3-Year Projection Assumption

Year2 = Year1 × 1.08, Year3 = Year2 × 1.10

Projection growth assumptions use a two-step rate: +8% then +10% when sufficient live revenue signals are available.

Important: Use as a decision-support tool

Locatalyze reports are designed to help you make better-informed decisions — not to replace professional due diligence. Our revenue and profit estimates are based on statistical benchmarks and AI modelling, not guaranteed outcomes.

Before signing a lease or committing capital, we recommend:

Conducting your own foot traffic counts at different times and days
Speaking to existing business owners in the area
Getting independent advice from a commercial property lawyer
Reviewing actual trading figures from comparable businesses
Consulting a business accountant to validate the financial model

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