Richmond and Carlton can both produce strong cafe outcomes, but each favors different demand and lease profiles. This comparison helps you decide which suburb matches your economics before commitment.
This is where founders usually get it wrong: they treat benchmark demand as proof, when it is only a starting hypothesis that still needs local validation.
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How to read this decision
Interpretation: most bad decisions happen when operators over-trust average-case projections and underweight downside execution risk.
Mini real-world scenarios
A cafe in an inner Perth strip looked viable on paper, but failed in month five because weekday commuter capture was half of the expected run rate.
A small operator avoided a poor lease by running two weekends of manual counting first; the observed peak window was 35% below benchmark assumptions.
A founder who compared two nearby suburbs chose the lower-rent site and reached breakeven sooner because repeat local demand was less volatile.
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