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AnalyseCanberraGungahlin

Canberra Suburb Intelligence

Gungahlin

Fastest-growing district in ACT — population grew 18% in five years to 2024

GOBest fit: Café (75/100)

Composite score

69
out of 100

Verdict

GO

Conditions support entry

75
Café
67
Restaurant
62
Retail

Factor Breakdown

Five-factor model

Each factor is scored 1–10. Higher demand is better; lower rent, competition, and seasonality are better. Tourism is context-dependent.

8/10
Demand
4/10
Rent cost
5/10
Competition
2/10
Seasonality
2/10
Tourism dep

Business-Type Scores

How each format performs

Café / Specialty Coffee75
Full-Service Restaurant67
Independent Retail62

Scores use engine-derived weights: cafés weight demand and rent most heavily; restaurants factor tourism; retail factors tourism and demand equally.

Analyst Notes — Gungahlin

What the data says about this location

1

Fastest-growing district in ACT — population grew 18% in five years to 2024

2

Chronically under-served for quality independent cafés and mid-market restaurants

3

Light rail connection to city from 2019 has made the catchment permanently accessible

4

Rent at $220–$320/m² is the most competitive of any major Canberra town centre

5

Young family demographic generates strong breakfast and family-dining demand on weekends

Methodology: Scores are engine-derived from five observable inputs (demand strength, rent pressure, competition density, seasonality risk, tourism dependency — each 1–10). These feed into business-type-specific weighted composites via a single scoring engine used across all markets. Scores are relative estimates calibrated across all Canberra suburbs — a score of 80 indicates materially better conditions than 65; it is not a success probability or guarantee.

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